Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 6.675052e-05 0.000080 0.000094 0.000111 0.000129 0.000149 0.000172
2025-03-09 4.776909e-05 0.000064 0.000083 0.000107 0.000135 0.000166 0.000204
2025-03-16 3.901146e-05 0.000057 0.000079 0.000107 0.000142 0.000182 0.000232
2025-03-23 3.206436e-05 0.000051 0.000075 0.000107 0.000148 0.000198 0.000260
2025-03-30 2.663280e-05 0.000046 0.000071 0.000107 0.000153 0.000210 0.000283
2025-04-06 2.137194e-05 0.000040 0.000066 0.000103 0.000154 0.000217 0.000301
2025-04-13 1.841507e-05 0.000037 0.000064 0.000105 0.000160 0.000231 0.000326
2025-04-20 1.440531e-05 0.000032 0.000059 0.000100 0.000158 0.000234 0.000338
2025-04-27 1.213021e-05 0.000029 0.000056 0.000099 0.000162 0.000244 0.000358
2025-05-04 1.022423e-05 0.000027 0.000054 0.000099 0.000165 0.000254 0.000379
2025-05-11 9.176243e-06 0.000026 0.000054 0.000102 0.000173 0.000270 0.000407
2025-05-18 7.954789e-06 0.000024 0.000053 0.000103 0.000178 0.000282 0.000430
2025-05-25 5.941384e-06 0.000020 0.000049 0.000099 0.000177 0.000286 0.000444
2025-06-01 4.499222e-06 0.000018 0.000045 0.000096 0.000177 0.000293 0.000463
2025-06-08 3.561155e-06 0.000016 0.000043 0.000095 0.000181 0.000304 0.000486
2025-06-15 2.899471e-06 0.000015 0.000042 0.000096 0.000186 0.000317 0.000513
2025-06-22 2.229681e-06 0.000013 0.000040 0.000095 0.000188 0.000327 0.000535
2025-06-29 1.590975e-06 0.000011 0.000038 0.000093 0.000188 0.000332 0.000551
2025-07-06 1.267622e-06 0.000011 0.000037 0.000093 0.000193 0.000345 0.000578
2025-07-13 8.009653e-07 0.000009 0.000034 0.000089 0.000190 0.000346 0.000587
2025-07-20 5.781183e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000089 0.000193 0.000355 0.000609
2025-07-27 4.100110e-07 0.000007 0.000031 0.000088 0.000196 0.000366 0.000632
2025-08-03 3.340215e-07 0.000007 0.000031 0.000091 0.000204 0.000383 0.000666